37.893 | How much foreign aid will the US provide Ukraine in 2022? | Continuous |
35.047 | Will Donald Trump post a new tweet before March 1, 2023? | Binary |
32.536 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2023? | Binary |
26.872 | Will Twitter make verification generally available before July 2023? | Binary |
26.344 | Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2024? | Binary |
23.752 | Will the Crimean Bridge be knocked out for seven days before 2024? | Binary |
23.061 | Will Johnny Depp receive a film contract from a major film studio by January 1, 2024? | Binary |
21.825 | What will Russia's nominal GDP be in 2022, in trillions of USD? | Continuous |
19.020 | Will Peloton file for bankruptcy protection before 2024? | Binary |
18.927 | Which party will have a serving Prime Minister following Israel’s 2022 elections? (Likud) | Binary |
18.707 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of at least 90% of the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
18.673 | Will Vladimir Putin be the president of the Russian Federation on February 1, 2023? | Binary |
14.578 | Will a state actor successfully use an ASAT weapon against a foreign satellite before 2024? | Binary |
14.176 | Will Russia capture or surround a large Ukrainian city before June 1, 2023? | Binary |
13.677 | By December 31, 2023, will the courts block any part of the Biden Administration's plan to broadly cancel student debt? | Binary |
13.281 | Will Sweden join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
11.998 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Elon Musk) | Binary |
11.402 | Will a coup or regime change take place in Russia in 2022 or 2023? | Binary |
10.715 | On January 1, 2024, will the Kerch Bridge be destroyed, such that no vehicle can pass over it? | Binary |
10.338 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of Sevastopol on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
10.334 | Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
9.974 | Will personal ID authentication be obligatory for new Twitter accounts on July 1, 2023? | Binary |
9.235 | Will a member of the United States Congress introduce legislation limiting the use of LLMs before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
9.047 | Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
8.304 | In 2023, will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high? | Binary |
8.126 | Will Tweets be inaccessible on Twitter.com for any seven days starting before 2024? | Binary |
8.104 | Will Ukraine join the European Union before 2024? | Binary |
8.087 | Will Israel impose sanctions on Russia before 2024? | Binary |
7.895 | Will Finland join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
7.628 | Will Twitter have a corporate credit rating in the "C"s or worse before July 2023? | Binary |
7.372 | Which party will have a serving Prime Minister following Israel’s 2022 elections? (Labor) | Binary |
6.916 | Will Dnipro be under Russian control on June 1, 2023? | Binary |
6.849 | In 2023 will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan? | Binary |
6.799 | Will a radiological "dirty bomb" be detonated in Ukraine or Russia before 2024? | Binary |
6.721 | Which party will have a serving Prime Minister following Israel’s 2022 elections? (New Hope) | Binary |
6.618 | Will Bitcoin end 2023 above $30,000? | Binary |
6.599 | Which party will have a serving Prime Minister following Israel’s 2022 elections? (Yisrael Beiteinu) | Binary |
6.492 | Which party will have a serving Prime Minister following Israel’s 2022 elections? (Joint List) | Binary |
6.208 | Which party will have a serving Prime Minister following Israel’s 2022 elections? (Shas) | Binary |
6.193 | Will there be more than 4 deaths between Russia and NATO forces outside of Ukraine before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
6.059 | Will China get involved in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict by 2024? | Binary |
5.778 | On January 1, 2024, will Ukraine control the city of Luhansk? | Binary |
5.748 | By 2024, will Vladimir Putin be charged with war crimes by the International Criminal Court in connection to the Russian invasion of Ukraine? | Binary |
5.381 | When will Ukraine regain control of the city of Kherson? | Continuous |
5.024 | Which party will have a serving Prime Minister following Israel’s 2022 elections? (Religious Zionist) | Binary |
4.953 | Will Ukraine use American rocket systems against targets on Russian soil before July 2023? | Binary |
4.943 | What percentage of US GDP will be spent on military expenses in 2022? | Continuous |
4.847 | Will Sam Bankman-Fried return to US soil before February 1, 2023? | Binary |
4.825 | On January 1, 2024, will Joe Biden have a positive (approval minus disapproval) rating? | Binary |
4.739 | Will Russia control any formerly Ukrainian territories other than LNR, DNR, or Crimea on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
4.598 | On January 1, 2024, will prediction markets say Joe Biden is the most likely Democratic nominee for President in 2024? | Binary |
4.552 | On January 1, 2024, will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia? | Binary |
4.546 | Will Ukraine formally pledge not to join the EU before 2024? | Binary |
4.439 | Which party will have a serving Prime Minister following Israel’s 2022 elections? (Meretz) | Binary |
4.169 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (David Sacks) | Binary |
4.126 | Which party will have a serving Prime Minister following Israel’s 2022 elections? (Zionist Spirit) | Binary |
4.070 | What will Asana's market cap be on December 1, 2023? | Continuous |
4.057 | Which party will have a serving Prime Minister following Israel’s 2022 elections? (UTJ) | Binary |
3.769 | In 2023 will a new version of COVID be substantially able to escape Omicron vaccines? | Binary |
3.609 | Will Coinbase file for bankruptcy protection before 2024? | Binary |
3.411 | In 2023 will there be any change in the composition of the Supreme Court? | Binary |
3.072 | Will Russia invade Latvia, Lithuania, or Estonia before 2024? | Binary |
2.907 | Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council by 2024? | Binary |
2.552 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Jason Calacanis) | Binary |
2.410 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Sriram Krishnan) | Binary |
2.338 | Will Ukraine join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
2.322 | Will Joe Rogan leave Spotify before February 1, 2023? | Binary |
2.191 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Peter Thiel) | Binary |
2.102 | Will Ukraine regain control of at least 50 km^2 of the Crimean Peninsula? | Continuous |
1.791 | Will Medvedchuk become president of Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
1.658 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Lex Fridman) | Binary |
1.652 | Will Israel arm Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
1.628 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Steve Davis) | Binary |
1.230 | Will Texas vote to secede from the United States before 2024? | Binary |
1.197 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Mike Schroepfer) | Binary |
1.112 | Will Russia start another wave of mobilization before the following dates? (July 1, 2023) | Binary |
1.024 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Blake Masters) | Binary |
0.918 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (John Legere) | Binary |
0.904 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Jared Kushner) | Binary |
0.815 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Sheryl Sandberg) | Binary |
0.187 | If Russia invades Ukraine, will +1,000 Russian soldiers be killed by Ukrainian forces in 2022 and 2023? | Binary |
0.125 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Buffalo Bills) | Binary |
0.021 | Will any member of NATO call for Hungary to be expelled before 2024? | Binary |
-0.091 | In 2023 will Donald Trump make at least one tweet? | Binary |
-8.093 | Will there be a collision or ramming incident between a military vessel or military aircraft of Russia or Belarus, and one of a NATO country, before 2024? | Binary |
-9.849 | Will a major nuclear power plant in Germany be operational on June 1, 2023? | Binary |
-11.981 | In 2023, will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit? | Binary |
-19.655 | Will PredictIt be open for trading in the US on March 16, 2023? | Binary |