| 83.338 | 98.4% | When will Microsoft release Windows 12? | Continuous |
| 75.279 | 99.7% | Will the following years be the warmest year on record, according to NASA? (2025) | Binary |
| 64.626 | 98.4% | Will Elon Musk have double the wealth of the second richest person on any day before 2026? | Binary |
| 60.067 | 99.5% | Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025? | Binary |
| 52.035 | 98.8% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Paris Saint-Germain) | Binary |
| 47.954 | 99.3% | Will China be able to mass produce humanoid robots by the end of 2025? | Binary |
| 42.073 | 99.7% | Will the US Congress pass a bill implementing Trump's tariff policies in 2025? | Binary |
| 37.395 | 99.2% | Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026? (Alibaba) | Binary |
| 37.347 | 99.3% | Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026? (Meta) | Binary |
| 36.479 | 99.9% | Will the winning bot in any Quarterly AI Benchmarking tournament beat the human Pro aggregate before Q3 of 2025? | Binary |
| 34.935 | 97.8% | How many measles cases will be reported in the United States in 2025? | Continuous |
| 33.987 | 57.1% | Will 1 million Russian personnel losses be reported before 2026? | Binary |
| 33.247 | 99.7% | Will major components of the Affordable Care Act be repealed or curtailed before 2026? | Binary |
| 32.528 | 99.7% | Will AI capabilities plateau with the next generation (GPT-5, etc.) of language models? (Anthropic / Claude 4 Opus) | Binary |
| 32.418 | 99.7% | Will Donald Trump have a positive net favorability rate on December 20, 2025, according to 538? | Binary |
| 32.223 | 98.3% | Will Jerome Powell cease to hold the office of Chair of the Federal Reserve before 2026? | Binary |
| 30.466 | 94.1% | Will Elon Musk's million-dollar giveaway to register voters be considered illegal on December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 29.538 | 77.1% | When will GPT-5 be available to the general public? | Continuous |
| 29.398 | 99.5% | Will AI capabilities plateau with the next generation (GPT-5, etc.) of language models? (OpenAI / GPT-5) | Binary |
| 28.873 | 98.4% | Will bitcoin reach $200k in 2025? | Binary |
| 28.396 | 99.7% | Will Elon Musk be the world's richest person on December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 28.271 | 99.3% | Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026? (Baidu) | Binary |
| 27.808 | 99.3% | Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026? (Apple) | Binary |
| 25.931 | 99.7% | Will a major AI lab claim in 2025 that they have developed AGI? | Binary |
| 25.921 | 88.4% | Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026? | Binary |
| 25.049 | 85.4% | What will NVIDIA's market capitalization be on the last day of the following years? (End of 2025) | Continuous |
| 24.476 | 99.8% | Will the US eliminate the Department of Education through law or presidential reorganization before 2026? | Binary |
| 23.657 | 98.3% | Will the next step for the medical approval of psychedelics for mental health be taken in the US in 2025? | Binary |
| 22.657 | 69.2% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Liverpool) | Binary |
| 22.432 | 98.2% | What Percentage of Democrats and Republicans will Vote-by-Mail in 2024? (% Democrats Voting-by-Mail) | Continuous |
| 21.960 | 92.4% | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict in 2024? | Binary |
| 21.678 | 86.4% | Will the US break up Google before 1 January 2026? | Binary |
| 21.575 | 99.7% | Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2025? | Binary |
| 20.705 | 99.4% | Will the REAL ID deadline be extended beyond May 7, 2025? | Binary |
| 17.750 | 97.7% | Will the WHO declare H5 avian influenza to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2026? | Binary |
| 17.395 | 98.3% | Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2026? | Binary |
| 16.493 | 99.4% | Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 15.704 | 98.3% | How many pounds of chicken per capita will the US consume in 2025? | Continuous |
| 15.472 | 99.3% | On January 1, 2026, will Cruise operate a rider-only ride-hailing service anywhere in the United States? | Binary |
| 15.396 | 99.8% | Will there be a bilateral ceasefire in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2026? | Binary |
| 14.189 | 98.4% | Will at least one All-Star from the NFL, NBA, MLB, or NHL be banned or suspended for sports betting before 2026? | Binary |
| 13.882 | 98.3% | How many farmed birds will be killed in the United States due to bird flu in 2025? | Continuous |
| 13.758 | 35.4% | Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases? | Binary |
| 13.676 | 99.6% | Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine or Ukrainian-held territory before 2026? | Binary |
| 12.822 | 99.3% | Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026? (xAI) | Binary |
| 12.665 | 99.9% | Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that Iran will not possess a nuclear weapon on July 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 12.505 | 33.2% | When will SpaceX first successfully catch a Starship booster with the tower? | Continuous |
| 12.326 | 99.7% | Will OpenAI offer ChatGPT in China before 2026? | Binary |
| 11.565 | 98.3% | Will California’s 2018 Proposition 12, "Prevention of Cruelty to Farm Animals Act", be in effect on January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 11.100 | 98.9% | Will Boeing file for bankruptcy before January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 11.000 | 80.2% | Will Ukraine start revoking passports of military draft age men residing abroad before 2026? | Binary |
| 9.612 | 28.7% | Who will be the CDU/CSU candidate for chancellor in the next German federal election? | Multiple Choice |
| 9.531 | 96.1% | How much will GiveWell update its cost-effectiveness estimate of GiveDirectly based on the results of the 2023-2024 follow-up of the Cash Transfers Study by UC Berkeley? | Continuous |
| 9.472 | 99.8% | Will there be major civil unrest or rioting in the US before 1 March 2025? | Binary |
| 9.099 | 67.7% | When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2024-2025 season? (Combined) | Continuous |
| 9.023 | 90.3% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Barcelona) | Binary |
| 8.690 | 98.2% | What Percentage of Democrats and Republicans will Vote-by-Mail in 2024? (% Republicans Voting-by-Mail) | Continuous |
| 8.486 | 99.4% | Will OpenAI, Google DeepMind, or Anthropic announce that they are pausing all training runs above a certain size for safety reasons, before 2026? | Binary |
| 8.320 | 99.1% | Will an H5 virus receive an "emergence" risk rating categorized as "high" by the US CDC Influenza Risk Assessment Tool before January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 8.250 | 99.3% | Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026? (AI21) | Binary |
| 8.019 | 90.6% | Will car crash deaths in the US be below 40,000 for 2024? | Binary |
| 7.447 | 99.3% | Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026? (Mistral AI) | Binary |
| 7.380 | 99.3% | Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026? (Perplexity AI) | Binary |
| 7.241 | 80.3% | Will the World Health Organization designate a new COVID-19 Variant of Concern before July 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 7.133 | 99.1% | Will SpaceX re-use a Starship booster before October 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 7.041 | 99.6% | Will TikTok still be available in the United States on December 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 6.829 | 99.0% | Will the S&P 500 Index increase over the year 2025? | Binary |
| 6.039 | 75.6% | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2024-2025 Premier League? (Crystal Palace) | Continuous |
| 5.281 | 85.7% | Will Nicolás Maduro be inaugurated for a new term in January 2025? | Binary |
| 4.770 | 75.6% | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2024-2025 Premier League? (Wolverhampton Wanderers) | Continuous |
| 4.645 | 99.3% | Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026? (Hugging Face) | Binary |
| 3.748 | 89.9% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Arsenal) | Binary |
| 3.702 | 39.2% | Will Denzel Washington win the Oscar for the Best Supporting Actor for Gladiator II? | Binary |
| 3.572 | 19.6% | Will another US state ban lab-grown meat in 2025? | Binary |
| 3.437 | 99.0% | Will any of these persons receive presidential pardons before President Biden's first term expires? (Fani Willis (Fulton Co. DA)) | Binary |
| 3.357 | 99.0% | Will any of these persons receive presidential pardons before President Biden's first term expires? (Jack Smith (special counsel)) | Binary |
| 3.290 | 99.0% | Will any of these persons receive presidential pardons before President Biden's first term expires? (Michael Cohen (former Trump lawyer)) | Binary |
| 2.785 | 99.3% | Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026? (Cohere) | Binary |
| 1.869 | 61.2% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (AC Milan) | Binary |
| 1.770 | 61.2% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Celtic) | Binary |
| 1.746 | 8.2% | Before January 1, 2026, will Israel formally lift its warnings against Palestinians returning to northern Gaza? | Binary |
| 1.270 | 98.8% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Inter Milan) | Binary |
| 1.236 | 99.3% | Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026? (C3.ai) | Binary |
| 1.141 | 99.0% | Will any of these persons receive presidential pardons before President Biden's first term expires? (Arthur Engoron (New York judge)) | Binary |
| 1.132 | 99.0% | Will any of these persons receive presidential pardons before President Biden's first term expires? (Letitia James (New York attorney general)) | Binary |
| 1.095 | 69.2% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Bayer Leverkusen) | Binary |
| 0.888 | 99.0% | Will any of these persons receive presidential pardons before President Biden's first term expires? (Alvin Bragg (Manhattan DA)) | Binary |
| 0.843 | 99.0% | Will any of these persons receive presidential pardons before President Biden's first term expires? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 0.819 | 69.5% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Atlético Madrid) | Binary |
| 0.685 | 99.0% | Will any of these persons receive presidential pardons before President Biden's first term expires? (Juan Merchan (New York judge)) | Binary |
| 0.566 | 99.0% | Will any of these persons receive presidential pardons before President Biden's first term expires? (Stephanie Clifford (AKA Stormy Daniels)) | Binary |
| 0.514 | 61.6% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Juventus) | Binary |
| 0.507 | 99.0% | Will any of these persons receive presidential pardons before President Biden's first term expires? (Barack Obama) | Binary |
| 0.226 | 61.2% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Atalanta) | Binary |
| 0.177 | 82.2% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Aston Villa) | Binary |
| 0.083 | 0.6% | Who will be elected President of Poland in 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 0.034 | 61.2% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (AS Monaco) | Binary |
| -0.135 | 53.9% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (RB Leipzig) | Binary |
| -0.139 | 75.6% | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2024-2025 Premier League? (Liverpool) | Continuous |
| -0.153 | 61.2% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Sporting Lisbon) | Binary |
| -0.205 | 53.9% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (VfD Stuttgart) | Binary |
| -0.210 | 99.8% | Will the bubble in the Magnificent Seven pop before 2026? | Binary |
| -0.217 | 69.5% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Lille OSC) | Binary |
| -0.234 | 53.9% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (RB Salzburg) | Binary |
| -0.241 | 53.9% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Girona) | Binary |
| -0.249 | 61.2% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Stade Brest) | Binary |
| -0.267 | 53.9% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Bologna) | Binary |
| -0.267 | 53.9% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Dinamo Zagreb) | Binary |
| -0.279 | 69.5% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (PSV Eindhoven) | Binary |
| -0.283 | 53.9% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Sparta Praha) | Binary |
| -0.287 | 69.2% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Benfica) | Binary |
| -0.291 | 53.9% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Young Boys) | Binary |
| -0.293 | 53.9% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Red Star Belgrade) | Binary |
| -0.295 | 53.9% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Slovan Bratislava) | Binary |
| -0.296 | 53.9% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Sturm Graz) | Binary |
| -0.297 | 53.9% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Shakhtar Donetsk) | Binary |
| -0.368 | 69.5% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Club Brugge) | Binary |
| -0.371 | 69.2% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Feyenoord) | Binary |
| -0.737 | 99.0% | Will any of these persons receive presidential pardons before President Biden's first term expires? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| -1.624 | 82.2% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Borussia Dortmund) | Binary |
| -1.695 | 99.3% | Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026? (IBM) | Binary |
| -2.189 | 82.2% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Bayern Munich) | Binary |
| -3.422 | 75.7% | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2024-2025 Premier League? (Aston Villa) | Continuous |
| -4.005 | 99.3% | Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026? (Inflection) | Binary |
| -4.560 | 82.2% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Real Madrid) | Binary |
| -4.581 | 61.2% | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Manchester City) | Binary |
| -4.824 | 75.7% | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2024-2025 Premier League? (West Ham United) | Continuous |
| -5.982 | 5.8% | Will there be an all-out war between Israel and Hezbollah in 2024? | Binary |
| -8.885 | 75.7% | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2024-2025 Premier League? (Brentford) | Continuous |
| -10.325 | 99.3% | Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months? | Binary |
| -11.323 | 67.7% | When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2024-2025 season? (COVID-19) | Continuous |
| -11.540 | 97.9% | Will antimicrobial drug sales for use in livestock production increase by at least 0.5% in 2024 relative to 2023? | Binary |
| -12.296 | 75.6% | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2024-2025 Premier League? (Bournemouth) | Continuous |
| -15.422 | 75.6% | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2024-2025 Premier League? (Fulham) | Continuous |
| -16.119 | 62.5% | Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026? (Amazon) | Binary |
| -18.073 | 99.3% | Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026? (Microsoft) | Binary |
| -19.443 | 100.0% | Will 1 Euro be worth less than 1 US Dollar before 2026? | Binary |
| -19.737 | 99.6% | Will electric vehicles make up more than 10% of new light duty vehicle sales in the United States before October 2025? | Binary |
| -20.771 | 75.6% | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2024-2025 Premier League? (Arsenal) | Continuous |
| -29.181 | 99.8% | Will Argentina's year-over-year inflation be below 30% for December 2025? | Binary |
| -32.081 | 75.6% | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2024-2025 Premier League? (Nottingham Forest) | Continuous |
| -43.383 | 75.6% | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2024-2025 Premier League? (Southampton) | Continuous |
| -45.013 | 75.6% | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2024-2025 Premier League? (Manchester City) | Continuous |
| -46.393 | 75.0% | Will President Joe Biden grant a pardon or commutation to Hunter Biden before January 21, 2025? | Binary |
| -49.734 | 75.6% | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2024-2025 Premier League? (Tottenham Hotspur) | Continuous |
| -50.793 | 44.2% | Will Elon Musk cease to be an advisor to Donald Trump and face public criticism from Donald Trump before 2026? | Binary |