K-12 Teachers
Community forecast of employment change versus 2025, across 2027, 2030, and 2035.
Curated insights
Teacher employment will decline primarily due to demographic changes, but automation risk is minimal.
— Pro Forecaster Ľuboš Saloky (lubossaloky)
The job of a teacher isn't to deliver information; it is to facilitate an environment that enables learning. The existence of the internet didn't make everyone a physicist or similar, even among those who are intelligent enough to be physicists. Directed online education has worked, sometimes in some domains, but is generally considered a sub-par experience. Good teachers relate to their students through their shared humanity. An AI agent can say the same words and fail to make the same connection.
— Pro Forecaster Nathan Metzger (Haiku)
Sure, a large fraction of the work is digital or semi-digital (lesson planning, grading, communication, administrative work, etc) but the core is still classroom management and student supervision.
— Pro Forecaster Yann Riviere (exmateriae)
Share this forecast
Download a share card and share this forecast with your network.