<img height="250" width="250" alt="Forecast alongside Vox's Future Perfect Team, see your aggregated predictions on Vox.com, and compete for the $2,500 prize pool." src="https://metaculus-web-media.s3.amazonaws.com/user_uploaded/vox-social2.jpg" />  
*More details on scoring and the contest timeline can be found below.*

Vox's **Future Perfect** highlights long-term thinking and evidence-based ways to improve human and animal welfare. Each year, Future Perfect writers like [Dylan Matthews](https://x.com/dylanmatt?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor), [Kelsey Piper](https://x.com/KelseyTuoc?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor), and [Sigal Samuel](https://x.com/SigalSamuel?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor) [forecast](https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/2024/1/1/24011179/2024-predictions-trump-politics-ohtani-oppenheimer-elections) the year to come and evaluate their previous [predictions](https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/24006533/2023-predictions-revisited-trump-biden-politics).

#### Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect on their 2025 forecasts.&#x20;

On January 1st, they'll publish their forecasts. You can join in: forecast along with them, see your aggregated predictions published on Vox.com January 1st, and compete for the **$2,500 prize pool**.

### [Start forecasting 2025](https://www.metaculus.com/c/future-perfect/) with questions like:&#x20;

* [Will Elon Musk cease to be an advisor to Donald Trump and face public criticism from Donald Trump before 2026?](https://www.metaculus.com/c/future-perfect/30891/elon-musk-and-donald-trump-falling-out-before-2026/)
* [Will the WHO declare H5 avian influenza to be a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) before 2026?](https://www.metaculus.com/c/future-perfect/30763/will-an-h5-pheic-be-declared-by-the-who-before-2026/)
* [Will the US eliminate the Department of Education through law or presidential reorganization before 2026?](https://www.metaculus.com/c/future-perfect/31076/us-eliminates-department-of-education-before-2026/)
* [Will a major AI lab claim in 2025 that they have developed AGI?](https://www.metaculus.com/c/future-perfect/30923/major-ai-lab-claims-to-have-created-agi-in-2025/)

## Additional Tournament Information

* Aggregated Community Predictions will appear in the Future Perfect article on Vox.com in the January 1st, 2025 article.&#x20;
* Questions will close December 31, **2025**.&#x20;
* The prize pool will be disbursed in 2026 after all questions have resolved, and the tournament will follow standard [tournament scoring](https://www.metaculus.com/help/scores-faq/#tournament-scores).&#x20;
* Some questions appearing in this contest will also appear in the Astral Codex Ten 2025 Forecasting Contest. These questions will have their Community Predictions hidden some time after the Vox article, but the aggregate forecasts as of January 1st will remain available there.&#x20;

## Future Perfect is a Community page. What are Metaculus Communities?

*In addition to the main question feed, this tournament's questions appear in the* [*Future Perfect Community*](https://www.metaculus.com/c/future-perfect/)*, co-created by Metaculus and Future Perfect. Communities are a new feature that lets users create and share forecasting questions on any topics they care about and can be publicly listed or kept unlisted.*

*Interested in building your own?* [*Reach out*](mailto:christian@metaculus.com) *to us, or* [*explore*](https://www.metaculus.com/questions/?communities=true) *existing publicly listed communities.*