Organization
Metaculus Administrators
About
Initiatives
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Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
$0.00 Prize Pool
Closes
on Jul 2, 2026
9 Questions
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Five Years After AGI
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π Quarterly Cup π
$0.00 Prize Pool
Closes
on Oct 8, 2024
30 Questions
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Q3 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament
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Synthetic Biology at Scale
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AI benchmarking warmup
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Bridgewater Contest Leaderboards
Road To Recovery Tournament
Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament
2017 Cryptocurrency Contest
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π Q2 2024 Quarterly Cup π
$0.00 Prize Pool
Closed
on Jul 4, 2024
60 Questions
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Bridgewater Forecasting Contest Warmup
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Understanding AI With Timothy B. Lee
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AI Benchmarks
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The Bryan Caplan Collection
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The Taiwan Tinderbox
Alt-Protein Tournament Round 2
31 Questions
Virginia Lightning Round: Week 1
15 Questions
Animal Welfare Series
Fermi Paradox Series
2025 Effective Altruism Survey
Future Perfect 2020 Series
Forecasting AI Progress: Hill Climbing Round
59 Questions
Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 4
10 Questions
Keep Virginia Safe: Round 3
32 Questions
2022 Scott Alexander predictions
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Keep Virginia Safe II: Hospitalizations Series
$5,000.00 Prize Pool
Closed
on Mar 22, 2024
22 Questions
Matthew Yglesias Predicts 2021
Stripe Climate Series
Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 8
19 Questions
Possible Worlds Series (with Ought)
Academy Summer Series
Future Effective Altruism Resources Series
Keep Virginia Safe: Round 1
23 Questions
Foresight 2020 Contest
Alt-Protein Tournament Round 1
28 Questions
AI ambiguity Series
Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 7
13 Questions
Forecasting AI Progress: Deep Learning Round
46 Questions
Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 9
13 Questions
Forecasting AI Progress: Maximum Likelihood Round
77 Questions
Future Perfect 2021 Series
Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 1
10 Questions
Future Perfect 2022 Series
Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 6
11 Questions
Playing God Series
IARPA 2018 Global Forecasting Challenge
Erik Hoel's 2050 Predictions Series
Climate Tipping Points Round 1
82 Questions
Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 5
11 Questions
Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 3
10 Questions
Future Perfect 2019 Series
Virginia Lightning Round: Week 2
8 Questions
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Keep Virginia Safe II: Variant Characteristics Series
$5,000.00 Prize Pool
Closed
on Mar 22, 2024
9 Questions
Keep Virginia Safe II: Keep Virginia Safe Series
41 Questions
Animal Charity Evaluators Strategy Series
Real-time Pandemic Decision Making: Round 2
10 Questions
Virginia Lightning Round: Week 4
7 Questions
20/20 Insight Forecasting Contest
Pandemic Series (2018)
Virginia Lightning Round: Week 3
7 Questions
Climate Tipping Points Round 2
52 Questions
Keep Virginia Safe: Round 2
35 Questions
RagnarΓΆk Series
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Future of AI
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π Q1 2024 Quarterly Cup π
$0.00 Prize Pool
Closed
on Apr 9, 2024
48 Questions
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ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
$2,500.00 Prize Pool
Closes
on Feb 1, 2025
42 Questions
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Chinese AI Chips
$0.00 Prize Pool
Closes
on Jan 2, 2033
27 Questions
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Respiratory Outlook 2023/24
$0.00 Prize Pool
Closes
on Jul 1, 2025
35 Questions
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Global Pulse Tournament
$1,000.00 Prize Pool
Closed
on Jun 11, 2024
36 Questions
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Effective Institutions Project
Israel-Gaza Conflict
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π Q4 2023 Quarterly Cup π
$0.00 Prize Pool
Closed
on Jan 4, 2024
50 Questions
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Complete Map of Neural Input-Output Functions
4 Questions
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Systematic Study of Phage Genes and Functions
4 Questions
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Platform for Human Molecular Monitoring
4 Questions
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Antibody Characterization through Open Science
4 Questions
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Superconductor Frontiers
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Conditional Cup
$0.00 Prize Pool
Closes
on Dec 31, 2024
56 Questions
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FRO-casting
$0.00 Prize Pool
Closed
on Dec 31, 2023
24 Questions
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Reducing Antibiotic Resistance In Aquaculture
7 Questions
![](https://metaculus-media.s3.amazonaws.com/quarterlycup.jpeg)
π Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup π
$0.00 Prize Pool
Closed
on Oct 4, 2023
62 Questions
Research
Platform
Programs
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AI Safety
48 Questions
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AI Technical Benchmarks
66 Questions
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AI in China
46 Questions
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AGI Outcomes
56 Questions
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AI Training and Compute
23 Questions
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Business of AI
70 Questions
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AI Demonstrations
74 Questions
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Public Perception of AI
26 Questions
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Space Technology & Climate
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Regulation of AI
43 Questions
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π°Q2 2023 Beginner Tournament π°
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π° Breaking News Tournament π°
$0.00 Prize Pool
Closed
on Jul 8, 2023
42 Questions
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Keep Virginia Safe II
$10,000.00 Prize Pool
Closed
on Apr 5, 2024
43 Questions
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π°Q1 2023 Beginner Tournament π°
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Economic Indicators
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ACX 2023 Prediction Contest
$0.00 Prize Pool
Closed
on Jan 30, 2024
54 Questions
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π° The Sagan Space Tournament π°
$5,000.00 Prize Pool
Closes
on Jan 5, 2031
38 Questions
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π°Q4 2022 Beginner Tournament π°
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Metaculus Meta
80 Discussions
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Red Lines in Ukraine
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FluSight Challenge 2022/23
$5,000.00 Prize Pool
Closed
on May 23, 2023
14 Questions
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Forecasting Our World in Data
$20,000.00 Prize Pool
Closes
on May 1, 2027
33 Questions
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Transparent Replications
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Humanitarian Conflict & Economic Risk
$2,500.00 Prize Pool
Closed
on Jun 13, 2023
8 Questions
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Economist 2021
$0.00 Prize Pool
Closed
on Jun 21, 2022
23 Questions
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Verity
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Biosecurity Tournament
$25,000.00 Prize Pool
Closes
on Jan 2, 2025
38 Questions
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Autocrat Public Figures Series
![](https://metaculus-media.s3.amazonaws.com/mpox.webp)
Mpox (Monkeypox)
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Forecasting AI Progress
$50,000.00 Prize Pool
Closed
on May 1, 2023
142 Questions
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Cultured Meat Tournament
$0.00 Prize Pool
Closes
on Dec 31, 2050
23 Questions
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White Hat Cyber
$2,500.00 Prize Pool
Closed
on Jun 20, 2023
50 Questions
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Ukraine Conflict
$10,000.00 Prize Pool
Closed
on Jul 2, 2024
138 Questions
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China and Global Cooperation
$2,500.00 Prize Pool
Closed
on Jun 5, 2024
34 Questions
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FluSight Challenge 2021/22
$2,500.00 Prize Pool
Closed
on May 16, 2022
71 Questions
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AI Progress Essay Contest
Closed
on Apr 16, 2022
Trustworthy News Forum
0 Discussions
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Global Trends 2022
$0.00 Prize Pool
Closed
on May 1, 2023
22 Questions
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Szilard Fortified Essay Contest
Closed
on Feb 1, 2022
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Real-Time Pandemic Decision Making
$2,500.00 Prize Pool
Closed
on May 31, 2022
103 Questions
Metaculus Journal
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Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
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Virginia Lightning Round Tournament
$0.00 Prize Pool
Closed
on Sep 5, 2021
31 Questions
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Flourishing Futures Forum
4 Discussions
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Nuclear Risk Tournament
$2,685.50 Prize Pool
Closed
on Mar 7, 2024
69 Questions
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Trade Signal Tournament
$1,487.68 Prize Pool
Closed
on Oct 29, 2021
36 Questions
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Healthy Communities Forum
1 Discussion
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Keep Virginia Safe Tournament
$2,500.00 Prize Pool
Closed
on Mar 1, 2023
89 Questions
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Feeding Humanity Forum
4 Discussions
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Alt-Protein Tournament
$1,262.50 Prize Pool
Closed
on Jul 31, 2023
67 Questions