478 forecasters

Will any member of NATO call for Hungary to be expelled before 2024?

0.2%chance

0.2%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 0% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Mar 2, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2023

Resolved:

Jan 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 2, 2022

Ukraine Conflict

2022-2023 Leaderboard

Why Some NATO Nations Are Still Hooked on Russia

Newsweek•Sep 14, 2025

NATO Articles 4 and 5 explained after Russian drones shot down over Poland

Independent•Sep 12, 2025

Russian State TV Mocks NATO Response to Drones

Newsweek•Sep 11, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch