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    Date of Fall of Kyiv in 2022

    Created by alwaysrinse on {{qctrl.question.created_time | dateStr}}
    Community prediction hidden {{qctrl.cpHiddenPeriodDurationString()}}, to be revealed on {{qctrl.question.cp_hidden_period_ends_time | dateStr}} • The hidden period counts for {{qctrl.question.cp_hidden_weight_coverage | percent}} of total coverage • {{qctrl.remainingCoverage() | percent}} coverage remaining
    Published by alwaysrinse on {{qctrl.question.publish_time | dateStr}}
    Ukraine Conflict

    Question

    A previous Metaculus question asked if Kyiv would fall to Russian troops by April 2022. Russia invaded Ukraine on February 24, 2022, and attacked Kyiv ; its forces moved toward Kyiv from Belarus. In early March, heavy fighting in the northwestern suburbs of Kyiv began. President Zelensky has remained in Kyiv and announced his intention not to retreat.

    If Kyiv falls in 2022, when will it happen?

    This question will resolve to the date that Kyiv falls according to either public reports by at least three reputable media sources or direct statements from at least four Permanent UNSC members that the majority of Kyiv's raions are under Russian military control. If this does not happen in 2022, this question will resolve ambiguously.

    See also:

    Will Kyiv fall by 2023?

    Categories:
    Geopolitics – Armed Conflict
    Ukraine

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