Question

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force?

23
38
Total Forecasters1366
Community Prediction
60%
(45% - 70%)

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50%
community: 60%
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Authors:
Matthew_Barnett
Opened:May 29, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035
Spot Scoring Time:May 30, 2022
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Geopolitics
People's Liberation Army
China
President of the US
Taiwan–US relations
Taiwan
United States
Joint Chiefs of Staff