23 comments
165 forecasters
If China launches an invasion of Taiwan before 2035, and the US intervenes, will China attack the United States?
70%chance
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Authors:
Opened:Jun 1, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 1, 2022
