Question

If China launches an invasion of Taiwan before 2035, and the US intervenes, will China attack the United States?

22
23
Total Forecasters157
Community Prediction
77%
(63.4% - 90%)

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50%
community: 77%
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Authors:
Matthew_Barnett
Opened:Jun 1, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 1, 2022
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Geopolitics
Taiwan independence movement
China
Politburo Standing Committee of the Communist Party of China
One-China policy
Taiwan–US relations
Taiwan
United States
Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China
Joe Biden