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46 forecasters
If these countries are attacked by a nuclear weapon by 2030, how many cities in that country will be offensively attacked?
Europe12.6
United States11.5
Russia10.5
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 18, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2029
If there is at least one nuclear detonation by 2030, in which countries will there be at least one fatality?
307 forecasters
How many nuclear weapons will be detonated offensively by 2050, if at least one offensive detonation occurs?
15.4 weapons
(2.1 - 434)
15.4 weapons
(2.1 - 434)
64 forecasters
If these countries detonate a nuclear weapon by 2050, what proportion of those detonations will be countervalue?
34 forecasters