Question
When will the Metaculus Community break its worst prediction record?
Resolved:AmbiguousTotal Forecasters4
Community Prediction
17 Jan 2025
(04 Dec 2023 - Jan 2029)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 04 Dec 2023 | — |
| median | 17 Jan 2025 | — |
| upper 75% | Jan 2029 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Dec 2039 | 6.9% | — |
What was the final result?Ambiguous
Authors:
Opened:Jun 18, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Resolves:Jan 1, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 20, 2022
Authors:
Opened:Jun 18, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Resolves:Jan 1, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 20, 2022