• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
13 comments
21 forecasters

Will Ukrainian military forces strike targets more than 10 kilometers inside Russian territory?

community
08 Mar 2023
result
05 Dec 2022 14:00
Authors:
casens
Opened:Oct 21, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolved:Dec 5, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 23, 2022
Red Lines in Ukraine
Geopolitics
🏆 2022-2023 Leaderboard
Newsweek logo
Russia Ramps Up Attacks on Ukrainian Energy Targets as Winter Approaches
Newsweek•Nov 2, 2025
CBS logo
Ukraine says forces hit key fuel pipeline near Moscow that supplies Russian army
CBS•Nov 2, 2025
New York Post logo
Ukraine hits key fuel pipeline that supplies Russian forces, military intelligence says
New York Post•Nov 1, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine or Ukrainian-held territory before 2026?

0.1% chance
151

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

1% chance
386

Will combat troops from NATO countries be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?

15% chance
121
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature