Group
What will core PCE and the max unemployment rate be at the end of 2023?
Forecast Timeline
Make a Prediction
| Outcome | My Prediction | Me | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
UR < 4.5%, core PCE ≥ 3% | yes | |||
UR < 4.5%, core PCE < 3% | no | |||
UR ≥ 4.5%, core PCE ≥ 3% | no | |||
UR ≥ 4.5%, core PCE < 3% | no | |||
Resolved Jan 1, 2024
Community Baseline Score
-66.5
Community Peer Score
36.7
Authors:
Opened:Oct 27, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 26, 2024
What will be the seasonally adjusted annual average U-3 unemployment rate in the United States in the following years?
4.38
What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months?
4.28
What will real GDP growth be in the United States in the following years?
1.75
Authors:
Opened:Oct 27, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 26, 2024
What will be the seasonally adjusted annual average U-3 unemployment rate in the United States in the following years?
4.38
What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months?
4.28
What will real GDP growth be in the United States in the following years?
1.75