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282 forecasters

35

282 forecasters

Environment & Climate

Will the Doomsday Clock advance toward midnight at the end of this year?

Ambiguous

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

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6 comments82 forecasters

Doomsday Clock At Midnight

Current estimate

3 comments41 forecasters

Climate Clock Hits Zero?

Current estimate

35 comments193 forecasters

No Non-Test Nuclear Detonations before 2035

11 comments63 forecasters

Nuclear Conflict During Summer Season by 2030

1 comment37 forecasters

Total Nuclear Weapons >20,000 by 2030

10 comments37 forecasters

5Y after AGI, nuclear deterrence undermined?

47 comments130 forecasters

Normal world in 2030?

15 comments287 forecasters

GC to be caused by nuclear war, if it occurs?