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76 forecasters
Will the US require purchasers of large numbers of GPUs to report their usage before 2026?
4%chance
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Authors:
Opened:May 17, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:May 19, 2023
Will the US enact export controls for some generative AI software before 2026?
57% chance
114
Will the US place restrictions on the total compute capacity individuals or companies are allowed to have before 2026?
0.1% chance
78
Will a Chinese firm make a large order of domestic AI chips before 2027?
99.9% chance
51