conditional
if yes
if no
Make a Prediction
Trump participates in first debate? | Trump Polling Change Two Weeks After Debate? |
|---|---|
| My Prediction: - | |
| My Prediction: - |
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <-8 | 2.0% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | -2.179 | — |
| median | -0.5235 | — |
| upper 75% | 1.086 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >8 | 0.8% | — |
What was the final result? 0.8
Community Peer Score
0.5
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Aug 10, 2023
Closes:Aug 24, 2023
Resolves:Sep 7, 2023
Authors:
Opened:Aug 10, 2023
Closes:Aug 24, 2023
Resolves:Sep 7, 2023
