Question

Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses autonomously self-replicating LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025?

Resolved:No

5 comments5

Total Forecasters45

Community Prediction

0.1%

(0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

88.9

Community Peer Score

17.2

Authors:

jleibowich kokotajlod will_aldred

Opened:

Sep 28, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 30, 2023

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Artificial Intelligence

Computing and Math

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