164 forecasters

When will we have transformative AI?

Current estimate

Sep 2043

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Authors:

will_aldred Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Nov 8, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2050

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2100

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 11, 2023

Economy & Business

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

How AI Will Pave The Path For Future Innovation

Forbes•Nov 1, 2025

Sam Altman says OpenAI will have a ‘legitimate AI researcher’ by 2028

TechCrunch•Oct 29, 2025

The economy doesn't need true AGI, says Replit CEO

Business Insider•Oct 24, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch