19 forecasters

When will be the next war between "great powers" (defined using GDP, population, or permanent membership on UN Security Council)?

Current estimate

Apr 2045

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Authors:

RyanBeck Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Oct 20, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2099

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2100

Spot Scoring Time:

Oct 23, 2023