Group

Will a U.S. President’s State of the Union address mention the issue of AI existential risk before the listed year?

7
14
58 forecasters

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YearMe
2025
no
2030
41%
2040
69%
Resolved Mar 7, 2024
Community Baseline Score
80.1
Community Peer Score
10.1
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Forecast Timeline

Authors:
Opened:Mar 1, 2024
Closes:Jan 7, 2039
Scheduled resolution:Mar 15, 2039