Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
5
comments
60
forecasters
Will there be a US-China war before 2050?
15%
chance
Share
Predict
Comments
Timeline
In the News
Key Factors
Question Info
Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Resolution Criteria
Key Factors
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Background Info
Histogram
Follow
embed
Authors:
RyanBeck
TomL
Opened:
Feb 1, 2024
Closes:
Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:
Jan 2, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:
Feb 4, 2024
Natural Sciences
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
News Match
How China and Taiwan are Preparing for War
Newsweek
•
Nov 2, 2025
US, China agree to set up military-to-military channels, Hegseth says
Al Jazeera
•
Nov 2, 2025
Is China winning the trade war against the US? Here’s what the data says
CNN
•
Nov 2, 2025
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
Similar Questions
Will there be a US-China war before 2035?
14%
chance
570
Will there be active warfare between the United States and China before 2027?
2.4%
chance
293
Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?
49%
chance
87
Show More Questions