Question
Zapping Zika #2: active transmission in the U.S. by August 2016?
Resolved:YesTotal Forecasters40
Community Prediction
63%
(45% - 71%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?Yes
Community Baseline Score
40.9
Community Peer Score
-4.3
Authors:
Opened:Apr 23, 2016
Closes:Jul 1, 2016
Resolves:Aug 26, 2016
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 24, 2016
Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the contiguous US, before 2027?
38%
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?
7.4%
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
3%
Authors:
Opened:Apr 23, 2016
Closes:Jul 1, 2016
Resolves:Aug 26, 2016
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 24, 2016
Will a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the contiguous US, before 2027?
38%
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?
7.4%
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
3%