Question
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?
Total Forecasters173
Community Prediction
7%
(4.3% - 11%)
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 17, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 25, 2024
How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?
144
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
2%
Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?
66%
Authors:
Opened:Jul 17, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 25, 2024
How many total human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States for 2024 and 2025?
144
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
2%
Will an avian influenza virus in humans be declared a “Public Health Emergency of International Concern” by the World Health Organization before 2030?
66%