36 comments
206 forecasters
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?
5%chance
The community sees this as a toss-up.
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 17, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 25, 2024
