🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

If the UK leaves the EU without a deal in 2019, will the UK enter a recession by 2021?

Resolved :Ambiguous53%
4
6
Total Forecasters51
Community Prediction53% (45% - 60%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 53%

Did this actually happen?Ambiguous

Authors:
Tamay
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
Economy & Business
2019 Leaderboard
Office for National Statistics (UK)
HM Treasury
European Union
Accession of Turkey to the EU
Brexit
United Kingdom
Gross domestic product

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