32 forecasters

Will Ukrainian forces capture Korenevo (51°24'37.7"N 34°54'02.2"E) before October 1, 2024?

50%chance

50%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 50% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Aug 26, 2024

Closes:

Aug 27, 2024

Resolved:

Oct 2, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 27, 2024

Include Bots:Yes

Q3 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

2024 Leaderboard

Ukraine's War Against Russian Oil Just Scored Another Big Hit

PJ Media•Sep 16, 2025

Trump envoy warns America could 'kick Russia's a*s' on the battlefield in the event of all-out war and says Putin's troops 'couldn't march to Berlin or anywhere else'

Daily Mail•Sep 15, 2025

Russia’s Putin hails war advances; Ukraine retakes parts of Donetsk

Al Jazeera•Sep 11, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch