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13
17 forecasters
13 comments
17 forecasters
Respiratory Outlook 2024/25
condition

Will USDA license HPAI H5 vax in dairy cows by July 1, 2025?

Resolved:No
17 forecasters
if yes
if no

How many human cases of H5 will CDC report in 2024 & 2025?

124
Resolved:Annulled

How many human cases of H5 will CDC report in 2024 & 2025?

101
Resolved:71 cases
if Yes29.2%
if No25.3%
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2 comments17 forecasters

When 500k H5Nx Influenza Cases?

Current estimate
Jun 2032
2 comments96 forecasters

Will Bird Flu be declared a PHEIC before 2030?

51%chance
1 comment18 forecasters

H5N1 pandemic before 2030

29%chance
2 comments166 forecasters

Synth-bio GC to cause (near) extinction?

7%chance
15 comments6 forecasters

Number of wild polio cases

12 comments25 forecasters

Will there be a non-H5N1 pandemic before 2027?

5%chance
11 comments28 forecasters

US acquired NWS infection before 2027?

25%chance
1 comment9 forecasters

Will the WHO announce a non-H5N1 pandemic before 2040?

50%chance