Question

How many farmed birds will be killed in the United States due to bird flu in 2025?

Total Forecasters169
Community Prediction
51.3M birds
(44.5M birds - 61.1M birds)

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<15M1.2%
Quartiles
lower 25%44.54M
median51.27M
upper 75%61.12M
Upper bound
>75M8.0%
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 20, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 25, 2024