Question
How many farmed birds will be killed in the United States due to bird flu in 2025?
Total Forecasters169
Community Prediction
51.3M birds
(44.5M birds - 61.1M birds)
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CDF
Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
<15M | 1.2% | — |
Quartiles | ||
lower 25% | 44.54M | — |
median | 51.27M | — |
upper 75% | 61.12M | — |
Upper bound | ||
>75M | 8.0% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 20, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 25, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Dec 20, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 25, 2024