aggregating definitive futures forecasting probable futures formulating intelligent forecasts computing probable understanding mapping definitive predictions mapping the future assembling contingent contingencies predicting critical futures mapping precise forecasts forecasting predictive estimations delivering precise insights aggregating quantitative understanding predicting definitive predictions assembling accurate predictions

Question

Metaculus Help: Spread the word

If you like Metaculus, tell your friends! Share this question via Facebook, Twitter, or Reddit.

How many billions of hen eggs will be produced in the U.S. in the year ending in November 2023?

Egg production during the year ending November 30, 2018 totalled 109 billion eggs, up 2 percent from 2017.

In 2013, 95.2 billion eggs were produced in the United States, according to the USDA. Yearly figures for total egg production can be found on the USDA webpage.

How many billions of hen eggs will be produced in the U.S. in the year ending in November 2023?


Resolution

This resolves as the number of hen eggs produced in the year ending November 30th, 2023. Numbers are to be rounded to one decimal place (e.g. 95.049 qualifies as 95.0). Resolution will be based on the data in USDA's Chickens and Eggs Annual Summary. This question resolves ambiguously if the USDA no longer reports these figures.

{{qctrl.predictionString()}}

Metaculus help: Predicting

Predictions are the heart of Metaculus. Predicting is how you contribute to the wisdom of the crowd, and how you earn points and build up your personal Metaculus track record.

The basics of predicting are very simple: move the slider to best match the likelihood of the outcome, and click predict. You can predict as often as you want, and you're encouraged to change your mind when new information becomes available.

The displayed score is split into current points and total points. Current points show how much your prediction is worth now, whereas total points show the combined worth of all of your predictions over the lifetime of the question. The scoring details are available on the FAQ.

Note: this question resolved before its original close time. All of your predictions came after the resolution, so you did not gain (or lose) any points for it.

Note: this question resolved before its original close time. You earned points up until the question resolution, but not afterwards.

This question is not yet open for predictions.

Thanks for predicting!

Your prediction has been recorded anonymously.

Want to track your predictions, earn points, and hone your forecasting skills? Create an account today!

Track your predictions
Continue exploring the site

Community Stats

Metaculus help: Community Stats

Use the community stats to get a better sense of the community consensus (or lack thereof) for this question. Sometimes people have wildly different ideas about the likely outcomes, and sometimes people are in close agreement. There are even times when the community seems very certain of uncertainty, like when everyone agrees that event is only 50% likely to happen.

When you make a prediction, check the community stats to see where you land. If your prediction is an outlier, might there be something you're overlooking that others have seen? Or do you have special insight that others are lacking? Either way, it might be a good idea to join the discussion in the comments.