calculating probable contingencies delivering predictive understanding delivering precise insights exploring predictive predictions crowdsourcing precise understanding mapping the future modeling critical forecasts exploring precise wisdom exploring critical predictions computing accurate insights aggregating critical futures predicting intelligent predictions forecasting definitive estimations crowdsourcing predictive estimations


Metaculus Help: Spread the word

If you like Metaculus, tell your friends! Share this question via Facebook, Twitter, or Reddit.

What percentage of U.S. adults will self-report to follow a vegan diet in 2028?

Dietary veganism is the practice of abstaining from the consumption of animal products (including dairy and egg products). Veganism may be adopted for various reasons. Objections to eating might might arise out of concerns for animal welfare, animal rights, or be borne out of religious beliefs. Other motivations for vegetarianism include health-related, environmental, cultural, aesthetic or economic ones.

In a 2019 national survey of 2,027 U.S. adults aged 18 and older, commissioned by the Vegetarian Resource Group, 2% of respondents self-reported as dietary vegans.

In a major poll of adults in the U.S. done in 2028, what percent will self-report to follow a vegan diet?


For the purpose of this question, self-reporting any vegetarian status amounts to agreeing with the proposition "I never consume meat, fish, seafood, or poultry, dairy or eggs". At least 2,000 adults representing a cross section of U.S. adults must be polled. The preferred source is a poll commissioned by the Vegetarian Resource Group (VRG). If surveys commissioned by the Vegetarian Resource Group are no longer admissible or are discontinued, an admin may decide to consult another polls if i) it polls a representable cross section of U.S. adults, and ii) it polls at least 2,000 adults, and iii) iii) respondents are asked whether they never eat meat, fish, seafood or poultry.


Metaculus help: Predicting

Predictions are the heart of Metaculus. Predicting is how you contribute to the wisdom of the crowd, and how you earn points and build up your personal Metaculus track record.

The basics of predicting are very simple: move the slider to best match the likelihood of the outcome, and click predict. You can predict as often as you want, and you're encouraged to change your mind when new information becomes available.

The displayed score is split into current points and total points. Current points show how much your prediction is worth now, whereas total points show the combined worth of all of your predictions over the lifetime of the question. The scoring details are available on the FAQ.

Note: this question resolved before its original close time. All of your predictions came after the resolution, so you did not gain (or lose) any points for it.

Note: this question resolved before its original close time. You earned points up until the question resolution, but not afterwards.

This question is not yet open for predictions.

Thanks for predicting!

Your prediction has been recorded anonymously.

Want to track your predictions, earn points, and hone your forecasting skills? Create an account today!

Track your predictions
Continue exploring the site

Community Stats

Metaculus help: Community Stats

Use the community stats to get a better sense of the community consensus (or lack thereof) for this question. Sometimes people have wildly different ideas about the likely outcomes, and sometimes people are in close agreement. There are even times when the community seems very certain of uncertainty, like when everyone agrees that event is only 50% likely to happen.

When you make a prediction, check the community stats to see where you land. If your prediction is an outlier, might there be something you're overlooking that others have seen? Or do you have special insight that others are lacking? Either way, it might be a good idea to join the discussion in the comments.

Embed this question

You can use the below code snippet to embed this question on your own webpage. Feel free to change the height and width to suit your needs.