Question
How many patients will be in cryonic suspension at the Cryonics Institute in 2030?
Total Forecasters38
Community Prediction
394 patients
(297 patients - 527 patients)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 296.6 | — |
| median | 394.3 | — |
| upper 75% | 527 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >1000 | 3.2% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 21, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2031
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 23, 2020
How many patients will the Shandong Yinfeng Life Science Research Institute report by 2026?
86.4
What is the likelihood ratio of being revived before 2200 if one was preserved by Alcor vs. the Cryonics Institute while both were active?
0.756
When will the number of people in cryopreservation preserved before 2019 fall to less than 50% of the current value?
Jan 2067
Authors:
Opened:Jan 21, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2031
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 23, 2020
How many patients will the Shandong Yinfeng Life Science Research Institute report by 2026?
86.4
What is the likelihood ratio of being revived before 2200 if one was preserved by Alcor vs. the Cryonics Institute while both were active?
0.756
When will the number of people in cryopreservation preserved before 2019 fall to less than 50% of the current value?
Jan 2067