Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
35
comments
230
forecasters
Will there be a global thermonuclear war by 2070?
11%
chance
Share
Predict
Comments
Timeline
In the News
Key Factors
Question Info
Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Resolution Criteria
Key Factors
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Background Info
Histogram
Follow
embed
Authors:
Anthony
Opened:
Jan 23, 2020
Closes:
Jan 1, 2070
Scheduled resolution:
Jan 1, 2070
Spot Scoring Time:
Jan 23, 2020
Technology
Geopolitics
News Match
The Growing Danger Of Nuclear Stockpiles Around The World
Forbes
•
Nov 5, 2025
The Path To The Next Use Of A Nuclear Weapon Is Right Before Our Eyes
Forbes
•
Nov 5, 2025
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
Similar Questions
Will no non-test nuclear weapons be detonated before 2035?
75%
chance
176
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?
29%
chance
282
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?
25%
chance
502
Show More Questions
