Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
ๆ
Log in
Sign Up
3
comments
292
forecasters
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
0.1%
chance
Share
Predict
Comments
Timeline
In the News
Key Factors
Question Info
Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Resolution Criteria
Key Factors
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Background Info
Histogram
Follow
embed
Authors:
kikollan
Opened:
Feb 27, 2025
Closes:
Nov 30, 2025
Scheduled resolution:
Dec 31, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:
Mar 14, 2025
Kiko Llaneras Tournament ๐ฎ
Geopolitics
๐ 2025 Leaderboard
News Match
China Releases Satellite Photos of Suspected Military Targets
Newsweek
โข
Nov 5, 2025
How China and Taiwan are Preparing for War
Newsweek
โข
Nov 2, 2025
Taiwan worries about US support wavering ahead of Trumpโs meeting with Xi
CNN
โข
Oct 30, 2025
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
Similar Questions
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years?
2025
No
2026
0.3%
2028
12.6%
2 others
885
forecasters
Will armed conflicts between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) lead to at least 100 deaths before 2026?
1%
chance
259
Will China make an official statement before 2030 saying that it has disavowed use of force as a means for reunification with Taiwan?
0.1%
chance
35
Show More Questions