43 forecasters

Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between India and Pakistan before 2027?

12%chance

The community sees this as a toss-up.

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Authors:

Opened:

May 21, 2025

Closes:

Dec 31, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2027

Spot Scoring Time:

May 22, 2025