106 comments
294 forecasters
Will all major 2020 US presidential candidates survive the COVID-19 epidemic?
96%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 96% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Mar 7, 2020
Closes:Sep 1, 2020
Resolved:Jan 8, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 7, 2020
How many people will be reported to have died per year of COVID-19 on average during the years 2022-2025 in the United States?
115k deaths/year
(87.5k - 206k)
115k deaths/year
(87.5k - 206k)
88 forecasters
Will the losing major-party candidate in the following U.S. presidential elections refuse to concede defeat before electors meet?
48 forecasters
Will no debates be held between the actual or presumptive presidential nominees of the two major parties in the following US elections?
44 forecasters