🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

In 2024, what percentage of surveyed Americans will report say that conflicts between Democrats and Republicans are "very strong"?

Resolved :Ambiguous73.8
5
3
Total Forecasters48
Community Prediction73.8 (68.1 - 79.3)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
68.07
73.84
79.29

What was the final result?Ambiguous

Authors:
Matthew_Barnett
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2016-2025 Leaderboard
United States
Pew Research Center
Republican Party (US)
Democratic Party (US)

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