What annual real return will the S&P 500 realize 2022-2031?
This question will resolve as the annual percentage return on the S&P 500 for the decade from Jan 1, 2022 to Dec 31, 2031 (including dividends).
"Annual return" refers to the geometric mean over the 10 years, that is:
Return should be measured on an inflation-adjusted basis using the Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index.