What annual real return will the S&P 500 realize 2022-2031?

For the decade from Jan 1, 2022 to Dec 31, 2031, what annual percentage return (including dividends) will the S&P 500 index achieve?

"Annual return" refers to the geometric mean over the 10 years, that is:

$(1+\text{total return})^{1/10} − 1$

Return should be measured on an inflation-adjusted basis. Inflation rates to be determined by the Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index.

Categories: Finance – markets

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