Question

Will EA Global London 2021 be cancelled, rescheduled, or moved online?

Resolved:Yes

5 comments5

Total Forecasters49

Community Prediction

75%

(65% - 90%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 75%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Peer Score

5.4

Authors:

mattvdm

Opened:

Jul 18, 2020

Closes:

Apr 29, 2021

Resolves:

Apr 29, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 20, 2020

Health & Pandemics

2020-2021 Leaderboard

Will OpenAI, Google DeepMind, or Anthropic announce that they are pausing all training runs above a certain size for safety reasons, before 2026?

2.5%

How many people will take the EA survey in 2030?

3706

Will the UK join or create a youth mobility scheme with the EU before 2030?

80%

Authors:

mattvdm

Opened:

Jul 18, 2020

Closes:

Apr 29, 2021

Resolves:

Apr 29, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 20, 2020

Health & Pandemics

2020-2021 Leaderboard

Will OpenAI, Google DeepMind, or Anthropic announce that they are pausing all training runs above a certain size for safety reasons, before 2026?

2.5%

How many people will take the EA survey in 2030?

3706

Will the UK join or create a youth mobility scheme with the EU before 2030?

80%