Question

When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?

Total Forecasters1715
Community Prediction
Apr 2033
(03 Mar 2028 - Jul 2044)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%03 Mar 2028
medianApr 2033
upper 75%Jul 2044
Upper bound
>21992.1%
Opened:Aug 23, 2020
Closes:Dec 24, 2199
Scheduled resolution:Dec 24, 2199
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 25, 2020