Question

When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?

Total Forecasters1713
Community Prediction
Dec 2032
(26 Jan 2028 - Dec 2042)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%26 Jan 2028
medianDec 2032
upper 75%Dec 2042
Upper bound
>21991.1%
Opened:Aug 23, 2020
Closes:Dec 24, 2199
Scheduled resolution:Dec 24, 2199
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 25, 2020