Question

When will the first general AI system be devised, tested, and publicly announced?

Total Forecasters1705
Community Prediction
May 2031
(11 May 2027 - Sep 2039)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%11 May 2027
medianMay 2031
upper 75%Sep 2039
Upper bound
>21992.5%
Opened:Aug 23, 2020
Closes:Dec 24, 2199
Scheduled resolution:Dec 24, 2199
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 25, 2020