69 forecasters

When will 100M people receive a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine candidate that has demonstrated an efficacy rate >75% in a n>500 RCT?

community

23 Mar 2021

result

18 Apr 2021

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Nov 19, 2020

Closes:

Jan 1, 2022

Resolved:

Apr 25, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 21, 2020