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Will interest in Veganism further increase in 2018?
Interest in Veganism has increased substantially in recent years, but it is unclear whether the current wave of Veganism will become the movement that will make eating animal products a thing of the past or just turn out to be another fad.
We can use Google trends to analyze the interest in a topic over time. We are going to use the trend in interest in the Topic of Veganism for this question. (Be careful to differentiate between the 'Topic' and 'Search Term', as Google makes a distinction between the two.)
In order to get a question that resolves in the not all to distant future, it is asked:
Will the month with the highest interest in Veganism in 2018 have a interest at least 25% greater than that of the month with the highest interest in 2017?
The question resolves positive, if the highest peak (a datapoint represents the average interest over a month) before 2018 (note that this could be November or December 2017) on the 2004 - present graph gets reduced to a value of 80 or less (100/80=1.25) by a month (peak) with complete data in 2018.
The earliest possible resolution time should be 2018-02-01, and the last possible resolution time will be 2019-01-01.
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When you make a prediction, check the community stats to see where you land. If your prediction is an outlier, might there be something you're overlooking that others have seen? Or do you have special insight that others are lacking? Either way, it might be a good idea to join the discussion in the comments.
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