Question

By 2030, will at least 10,000 Americans die in a single year from a single conflict?

20
23
Total Forecasters122
Community Prediction
15%
(6% - 20%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 15%
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
kokotajlod
Opened:Apr 7, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 8, 2021
Geopolitics