Question
What will be the preliminary value of the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in July 2021?
Resolved:80.8Total Forecasters33
Community Prediction
86
(83.6 - 88.1)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <50 | 0.1% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 83.58 | — |
| median | 86.04 | — |
| upper 75% | 88.07 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >110 | 0.2% | — |
What was the final result?80.8
Community Peer Score
4.8
Community Baseline Score
48.0
Authors:
Opened:Jun 15, 2021
Closes:Jul 6, 2021
Resolves:Jul 16, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 17, 2021
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?
8%
Will the US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index exceed its 2020 peak before 2029?
90%
What will the seasonally adjusted month over month headline CPI inflation be in the United States in the following months?
0.18
Authors:
Opened:Jun 15, 2021
Closes:Jul 6, 2021
Resolves:Jul 16, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 17, 2021
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will "stagflation" occur in the United States before 2026, as measured by the "misery index" reaching 10 or more for at least three consecutive months?
8%
Will the US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index exceed its 2020 peak before 2029?
90%
What will the seasonally adjusted month over month headline CPI inflation be in the United States in the following months?
0.18