Question
When will an AI be able to solve over 80% of competition-level coding problems on its first try?
Total Forecasters141
Community Prediction
17 May 2027
(25 Aug 2025 - 22 Jun 2030)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 25 Aug 2025 | — |
| median | 17 May 2027 | — |
| upper 75% | 22 Jun 2030 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2081 | 4.8% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 18, 2021
Closes:Jun 20, 2081
Scheduled resolution:Jun 20, 2081
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 20, 2021
Authors:
Opened:Jun 18, 2021
Closes:Jun 20, 2081
Scheduled resolution:Jun 20, 2081
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 20, 2021
