Question

What will be the percentage change in the number of US durable goods ordered in September 2021?

Resolved:-0.4
Total Forecasters40
Community Prediction
0.515
(-0.488 - 1.49)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<-150.2%
Quartiles
lower 25%-0.4883
median0.5154
upper 75%1.491
Upper bound
>150.2%

What was the final result?-0.4

Community Baseline Score
90.0
Community Peer Score
3.4
Opened:Jun 15, 2021
Closes:Oct 26, 2021
Resolves:Oct 27, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 17, 2021