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2
64
forecasters
7
2 comments
64 forecasters
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
2 more...
Will a non-test nuclear detonation by a non-state actor cause at least one fatality by 2030?
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1%
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No Non-Test Nuclear Detonations before 2035
74.1%
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1 comment
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First detonation accidental/unauthorized?
10%
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