11 comments
29 forecasters
What proportion of non-test nuclear weapon detonations by 2050 will be against battlefield targets?
Current estimate
0.33%
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Authors:
Opened:Jun 25, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2049
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 27, 2021