151 forecasters

How many nuclear weapons will be detonated offensively by 2050?

Current estimate

<1 weapons

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Jun 25, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2050

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2055

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 26, 2021

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